NATO Readies for Imminent Threat: Inside the Secret German Defense Document Predicting a Russian Offensive in 2025

A secret document from the German Ministry of Defense, obtained by Bild, reveals a concerning scenario that has set NATO on high alert. The document, designated "For Official Use Only," outlines a potential path to conflict between Russia and NATO, with a climax involving the deployment of hundreds of thousands of NATO soldiers, possibly marking the onset of war in the summer of 2025.

The Bundeswehr scenario starts in February 2024, with Russia initiating another wave of mobilization, drafting an additional 200,000 troops. Following this, Russia is predicted to launch a spring offensive against Ukraine, progressively pushing back Ukrainian forces by June, amid diminishing Western support.

The scenario foresees a shift from concealed to more apparent Russian attacks on the West beginning in July, particularly targeting Baltic countries through cyberattacks and other hybrid warfare forms. Clashes instigated by Russia could serve as a pretext for large-scale military exercises, involving 50,000 troops in September, both within Russia and Belarus.

A critical point may arise in October with Russia's potential deployment of troops and intermediate-range missiles to Kaliningrad. Starting December, the "Suwalki Corridor" area could see artificially provoked "border conflicts" and "disorders with numerous casualties."

The document speculates that a period of leaderlessness in the U.S. following presidential elections could embolden Russia, supported by Belarus, to replicate its 2014 invasion tactics in NATO territory. In response, a special NATO council meeting in January 2025 would see Poland and Baltic countries expressing growing concerns about the Russian threat.

By May 2025, NATO is expected to decide on deterrence measures, deploying 300,000 military personnel, including 30,000 German soldiers, to the eastern flank on "D-Day" to prevent a Russian attack on the Suwalki Corridor from Belarus and Kaliningrad. The scenario concludes 30 days after "D-Day," leaving the question of Russia's containment by NATO unanswered.

The German Ministry of Defense representative did not comment on the defense scenario but stated that considering various scenarios, even highly unlikely ones, is part of routine military activities, particularly in training processes.

Context:
On July 12, 2023, Bild revealed details of NATO's 4,400-page defense plan in case of a Russian attack. The plan specifies military capabilities to be demonstrated by the 32 member states, with Germany playing a crucial role as a key logistical hub for Alliance forces. On October 27, German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius stated that NATO countries must be ready for aggression from Russia.

For more details on this developing situation, refer to the original Bild article https://m.bild.de/bild-plus/politik/ausland/politik-ausland/exklusives-geheim-papier-bundeswehr-bereitet-sich-auf-putin-angriff-vor-86752990.bildMobile.html?t_ref=https%3A%2F%2Fgordonua.com%2F